Mlodinow Leonard. The Drunkard's Walk: how randomness rules our lives

New York: Pantheon Books, 2008. — 252 p. — eISBN: 978-0-307-37754-8.The Drunkard's Walk discusses the role of randomness in everyday events, and the cognitive biases that lead people to misinterpret random events and stochastic processes. The title refers to a certain type of random walk, a mathematical process in which one or more variables change value under a series of random steps. Mlodinow discusses the contributions of mathematical heavyweights Jacob Bernoulli, Pierre-Simon Laplace, and Blaise Pascal, and introduces basic statistical concepts such as regression toward the mean and the law of large numbers, while discussing the role of probability in examples from wine ratings and school grades to political polls.Peering through the Eyepiece of Randomness.
The Laws of Truth and Half-Truth.
Finding Your way through a Space of Possibilities.
Tracking the Pathways to Success.
The Dueling Laws of Large and Small Numbers.
False Positives and Positive Fallacies. Measurement and the Law of Errors.
The Order of Chaos.
Illusions of Patterns and Pattern of Illusion.
The Drunkard's Walk.