Perruzzi J.J. A multiple-attack effectiveness prediction algorithm

Synetics Co Dallas Tex, 1987. — 26 p.A model for predicting the effectiveness of multiple attackers against a single evader is analytically developed. Mathematical relationships are established that allowed the probability of evader disablement or capture to be expressed in terms of attacker trajectory error statistics and destruction characteristics, as well as evader localization error statistics and evasion characteristics. These formulae are transformed into a compact computational algorithm, which allows attack effectiveness predictions to be made and updated on-line as a function of changing scenarios. Keywords: Antisubmarine warfare; Computational algorithms.